Ukrainian Hope

 Francis Fukuyama, of the End of History fame, recently published an article in American Purpose entitled Preparing for Defeat. Basically Fukuyama states that Russia is heading for defeat. He believes that Putin mistakenly believed that the Ukrainians would welcome the Russian troops and the Ukrainian army would collapse quickly. That ain't happening! It's not going to get better, "Putin at this point has committed the bulk of his entire military to this operation—there are no vast reserves of forces he can call up to add to the battle. Russian troops are stuck outside various Ukrainian cities where they face huge supply problems and constant Ukrainian attacks." 

Fukuyama expands on his article in an interview published in the Washington Post here: "Russia does not begin to have a large enough military to occupy Ukraine and bring Ukraine to a point where they’d make that kind of concession. This is a country with a population of over 40 million, and Putin has already committed the vast bulk of his military.

It’s extremely costly for the Russians to keep up this kind of siege. Every single day, they lose a large number of armored vehicles, men, supplies. The morale in the Russian army appears to be extremely low." The end will be, according to Fukuyama "sudden and catastrophic." With this defeat will be the end of Putin for how can a strong man continue if he's seen to be weak. NATO does not need to supply MIGs, they would not make much of a difference. What needs to continue is a "continuing supply of Javelins, Stingers, TB2s, medical supplies, comms equipment, and intel sharing.